Relevance: GS-3: Indian Economy and issues relating to planning, mobilization, of resources, growth, development and employment.
Key Phrases: Reverse repo normalisation, Tri-party Repo, Call Money rates, Monetary Policy, liquidity management framework, liquidity management corridor, benchmark interest rate, inflation.
Why in News?
- In a recent report, State Bank of India, which is the largest public sector bank in the country, has stated: “…we believe the stage is set for a reverse repo normalisation.”
Highlights:
State Bank of India’s economic research team believes the stage is set for a reverse repo normalisation, given that the Triparty Repo Dealing and Settlement (TREPS) and call money rates are ruling higher than the reverse repo rate.
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Tri-party repo is a type of repo contract where a third entity (apart from the borrower and lender), called a Tri-Party Agent, acts as an intermediary between the two parties to the repo to facilitate services like collateral selection, payment and settlement, custody and management during the life of the transaction.
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The Call money rate is the benchmark interest rate that banks charge brokers who are borrowing the money to fund margin loans.
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The call money rate, also known as the broker loan rate, typically isn't available to individuals, instead, investors pay the call money rate plus a service fee on a margin account.
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- As per report, Normalisation means the reverse repo rate of 3.35 per
cent can be raised to 3.75 per cent in one or two stages.
- The reverse repo is the interest rate that the RBI pays to the commercial banks when they park their excess “liquidity” (money) with the RBI. The reverse repo, thus, is the exact opposite of the repo rate.
- Simply put, Reverse Rate Normalisation means the reverse repo rates will go up.
RBI’s Monetary Policy:
India’s central bank, the Reserve Bank of India, keeps tweaking the total amount of money in the economy to ensure smooth functioning. As such, when the RBI wants to boost economic activity it adopts a so-called “loose monetary policy”. There are two parts to such a policy:
- One, the RBI injects more money (liquidity) into the economy. It does so by buying government bonds from the market. As the RBI buys these bonds, it pays back money to the bondholders, thus injecting more money into the economy.
- Two, the RBI also lowers the interest rate it charges banks when it lends money to them; this rate is called the repo rate. By lowering the interest rate at which it lends money to commercial banks, the RBI hopes that the commercial banks (and the rest of the banking system), in turn, will feel incentivised to lower interest rates. Lower interest rates and more liquidity, together, are expected to boost both consumption and production in the economy. For a consumer, it would now pay less to keep the money in the bank — thus it incentivises current consumption. For firms and entrepreneurs, it would make more sense to borrow money to start a new enterprise because interest rates are lower.
The reverse of a loose monetary policy is a “tight monetary policy” and it involves the RBI raising interest rates and sucking liquidity out of the economy by selling bonds (and taking money out of the system).
- When any central bank finds that a loose monetary policy has started becoming counterproductive (for example, when it leads to a higher inflation rate), the central bank “normalises the policy” by tightening the monetary policy stance.
Need:
- The RBI’s revised liquidity management framework (February 2020)
has retained the width of the liquidity management corridor at 50
basis points – the reverse repo rate being 25 basis points below the repo
rate (of 4 per cent) and the Marginal Standing Facility rate 25 basis
points above the repo rate.
- The width of this corridor was increased to 90 basis points in the April-May 2020 Covid period by cutting the reverse repo rate.
- The purpose of the aforementioned cut in reverse repo rate was to make it relatively unattractive for banks to passively deposit funds with the Reserve Bank and use these funds for on-lending to productive sectors of the economy.
- Under normal circumstances, that is when the economy is growing at a
healthy pace, the repo rate becomes the benchmark interest rate in
the economy.
- That’s because it is the lowest rate of interest at which funds can be borrowed. As such, the repo rate forms the floor interest rate for all other interest rates in the economy.
- In a scenario where the RBI pumps more and more liquidity into the
market but there are no takers of fresh loans — either because the banks are
unwilling to lend or because there is no genuine demand for new loans in the
economy.
- In such a scenario, the action shifts from repo rate to reverse repo rate because banks are no longer interested in borrowing money from the RBI.
- Rather they are more interested in parking their excess liquidity with the RBI. And that is how the reverse repo becomes the actual benchmark interest rate in the economy.
- The reverse repo had become the benchmark rate in India since the start
of the Covid pandemic.
- In short, the RBI had widened the gap between repo rate and reverse repo rate (SEE CHART) in order to make it less attractive for banks to simply park their funds at the RBI.
- A lower reverse repo rate pushed banks to extend more fresh loans in the economy.
Way Forward:
- Over the past few months, in the face of rising inflation, several central banks across the world have either increased interest rates or signaled that they would do so soon.
- In India, too, it is expected that the RBI will raise the repo rate. But
before that, it is expected that the RBI will raise the reverse repo rate
and reduce the gap between the two rates. In the immediate aftermath of
Covid, RBI had increased this gap (See CHART).
- SBI first expects the reverse repo to go up from 3.35% to 3.75% while the repo rate continues to be 4%.
- Doing this will incentivise commercial banks to park excess funds with RBI, thus sucking some liquidity out of the system.
- The next step would be raising the repo rate.
Conclusion:
- This process of normalization ,which is aimed at curbing inflation, will not only reduce excess liquidity but also result in higher interest rates across the board in the Indian economy — thus reducing the demand for money among consumers (since it would make more sense to just keep the money in the bank) and making it costlier for businesses to borrow fresh loans.
Source: The Hindu BL , Indian Express
Mains Question:
Q. Passage from fiscal profligacy warranted by the catastrophic impact of Covid-19 to normalisation is an inevitable journey that needs to begin at some point. In this light do you think that the gateway for policy normalisation has arrived? Discuss.